This spring, a clutch of politicians, civil service mandarins, bankers and overseas dignitaries gathered in the gilded halls of the UK Foreign Office’s Lancaster House in west London. Unusually for such a gathering, there was not a glass of wine in sight.
For this was a reception designed to celebrate London’s credentials as an aspiring hub for Islamic finance - a niche but fast-growing industry that meshes modern capitalism with Muslim religious principles. The speeches were brief and toasted with glasses of still water and mango juice rather than alcohol from the Foreign Office’s cellars. The reception was interrupted briefly for evening prayers in an adjoining room prepared for the occasion.
The UK government last year announced plans to become the first western country to issue an Islamic bond, or sukuk - a security structured to adhere to the Muslim prohibition on interest. For industry insiders, it was further confirmation that Islamic finance had arrived.
“The UK is one of the world’s biggest and most established economies, and it is saying Islamic finance is good to go,” says Afaq Khan, head of Saadiq, Standard Chartered’s Islamic arm. “It’s a vote of confidence and sends the signal that the UK is open to Islamic finance.”
Baroness Sayeeda Warsi, co-chair of the government’s Islamic finance task force, rejects the charge that the £200m planned sukuk is ‘tokenistic’ and insists that there is a political will for the UK to play a big role in Islamic finance.“We don’t just want a piece of the cake, we want to help shape the cake and help it grow”
Some sceptics may blanch at the government rolling the red carpet out for a little-understood industry that adheres to sharia, or Islamic, law. Yet the attractions are obvious. From humble beginnings just a few decades ago, the global Islamic finance industry is expected to hit $2tn this year - extending to banks, mutual funds, insurance, private equity and even some (contentious) hedge funds.
“The more I looked at the industry the more I realised that it was a no-brainer,” says Baroness Sayeeda Warsi, a Foreign Officer minister and co-chair of the government’s Islamic finance task force. “The figures are incredible.”
The gambit is part of a wider government strategy to ensure that the City of London continues to enjoy its lucrative but sometimes contentious status as a freewheeling entrepôt for global finance in the 21st century. Bolstering Islamic finance is an important aspect of this, especially if, as the government hopes, it triggers an accompanying wave of investment from appreciative Muslim countries and financiers.
The UK is stepping into a crowded field, however. The biggest Islamic finance markets are Malaysia, Iran and Saudi Arabia. But Iran is in effect cut off from the rest of the industry by international sanctions and different sharia interpretations, leaving the other two centres as the leading powerhouses.
Saudi Arabia and Malaysia have the size and depth to act as regional centres of gravity for the Middle East and Asia, and aspirations to lead the global industry.
Then there are established offshore hubs, led by Bahrain - one of the industry’s pioneers - but with ambitious Dubai increasingly asserting itself. Bahrain has a head start, but Dubai has already stolen its crown as the Middle East’s financial centre and hopes to become the capital of the emerging ‘Islamic economy’ as well.
London is the leading western centre but Luxembourg, Hong Kong and South Africa are now competing with the UK to become the first non-Islamic country to issue a sovereign Sukuk to make themselves stand out.
Several factors came together to nurture an industry now courted by a host of countries. Growth came quickly after devout Arab merchants established a handful of Islamic banks in the 1970s and 1980s, with many Muslims attracted to the promise of having access to financial services without breaking their religious principles. Malaysia began promoting Islamic finance after setting up its sharia-compliant financial institution in 1983.
Essentially, bankers, lawyers and clerics who are well versed in Islam’s financial tenets work together to use one or a combination of permissible concepts in sharia to get around bans on fixed interest rates and pure monetary speculation. They also need to fulfil injunctions for real assets to back transactions and for profit-and-loss sharing investments.For example, if a company wants to issue a sukuk, the structure could include some of its real estate, with the company paying a fixed rent to the sukuk holders rather than normal interest. At maturity the company is obliged to buy back the property - a popular sale-and-leaseback structure known as ijara.
In its first two decades the industry was rudimentary and attracted little outside attention. But that changed when oil prices began to rise in the 2000s and supercharged Islamic finance in the Gulf in particular. That attracted western banks, greatly enhancing the industry’s sophistication and credibility.
The future looks promising. EY, the consultancy formerly known as Ernst & Young, predicts that Islamic banking alone will grow to $3.4tn by 2018 given that many Muslims remain unbanked, partly because of religious prohibitions.
Even supporters are taken aback at the pace of development. When Mr Khan of StanChart first arrived in Bahrain in 1994 to handle Citigroup’s initial trickle of sharia-compliant business, transactions were rare, and rarely amounted to more than a few million dollars at a time.
But over the past decade StanChart’s Saadiq arm has arranged more than $73bn of sharia-compliant financing. “In my wildest dreams I didn’t think the industry would grow this quickly,” Mr Khan says.
Still, the industry has its detractors. Some Muslim critics feel it is merely a means to give conventional finance a veneer of sharia, following the letter of Islamic law rather than its spirit.
Critics charge that the industry fails in the area that some proponents like to hold up as its prime selling point: Islam’s injunction for profit-and-loss sharing equity investments, rather than usurious debt. In practice, however, Islamic finance often deviates little from its conventional counterpart.
Tarek El Diwany, a derivatives trader turned Islamic finance proselyte, is a particularly fierce critic of the modern industry. He argues it has simply copied the institutional framework and products of conventional banking. “That’s not just a failure of vision, it’s often completely counter to the objectives of Islamic law,” he says.
Mr Diwany argues that Islamic finance would be far more respected among outsiders if it offered a genuine alternative, one that could have been compelling in the wake of the global financial crisis. His argument is one with which some industry insiders quietly agree.
Some proponents feel that Islamic finance has occasionally compromised its principles in its efforts to grow. That has led to periodic pushback from the ‘sharia scholars’, the specialist clerics who act as guardians of the industry’s religious foundations.
In 2008 Sheikh Muhammad Taqi Usmani, one of the most distinguished sharia scholars, indicated that some prominent sukuk structures strayed too far from the spirit of Islamic law. Briefly, ‘a cold sweat broke out across the industry’, recalls Harris Irfan of EIIB-Rasmala, an Islamic investment bank, but standards were quickly tightened and growth was revived.
Many Muslims are simply agnostic on Islamic finance. Despite high hopes, Islamic retail banking has failed to take off in the UK, for example. Even in Egypt, a populous bastion of the Muslim world, the industry has failed to establish firm roots.
Western banks have also largely withdrawn after profitability disappointed. Most damningly, HSBC, which helped spearhead the industry’s growth, decided to cut back its sharia-compliant Amanah arm two years ago, ending its retail services everywhere but Malaysia and Saudi Arabia. While it remains active in Islamic investment banking, the diminution of Amanah was a blow to the wider industry.
Despite those setbacks, Islamic finance has continued to mature and swell in size. Heated arguments over its religious credentials are natural and unavoidable, given the breadth and diversity of Islam. Even though there have been a number of successful efforts to harmonise sharia interpretations, there will probably always be differences of opinion between regions, countries and clerics, experts say.
Proponents are loath to admit that there have been any compromises with sharia along the way but like to point out that adhering to Islam’s financial values is a process, not an absolute yardstick.
Iqbal Khan, the founder of HSBC Amanah and one of the industry’s early champions, predicts that as Islamic finance matures it will gradually become truer to the spirit of sharia..
It is unclear what role the UK will be able to carve out for itself as the industry matures. Malaysia and the Gulf will remain the industry heavyweights but the position as the leading western centre for Islamic finance is there for the taking.
Baroness Warsi understands the caution, given the UK’s long-delayed sukuk plans. It was originally laid down by the last Labour government but shelved when the financial crisis struck. She rejects, however, charges that the £200m planned sukuk is ‘tokenistic’ and insists that there is a political will for the UK to play a big role in Islamic finance.
“We don’t just want a piece of the cake, we want to help shape the cake and help it grow,” she adds.
Published in Dawn, Economic & Business, June 2nd, 2014